Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Latest Washington Post poll Romney beats Obama by 11 points among Likely Independent voters

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9/11/12, "Obama, Romney run close among likely voters after conventions," Washington Post


Romney beats Obama by 11 points among Likely Independent voters (Indeps. were largest group measured by this poll, 37%):

54-43

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Washington Post poll dates Sept. 7-9, 2012. They questioned 'likely voters' and 'registered voters' separately. The poll oversampled Democrats v Republicans, 33D, 23R, 37I (see last item in poll).

"Q: Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a...

Democrat 33%

Independent 37

Other 4

Dont know 3"

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Among those who disapprove Obama handling of the economy, 82% say he's doing the wrong things. They do not believe Obama 'needs more time' to get it right:

Of registered voters who disapprove Obama on the economy (which is 53% of registered voters in a poll skewed to favor Obama), 82% say he's doing the wrong things, only 13% say his programs should be given more time:

"Q: (Among those [registered voters] who disapprove of Obama on the economy) Do you think Obama has the wrong economic policies or do you think Obama has the right economic policies but they need more time to work?

Right policies-need more time, 13%"

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9/11/12, "Among likely voters, Obama-Romney close," Washington Post, Balz, Cohen

"The survey shows that the race remains close among likely voters, with Obama at 49 percent and Romney at 48 percent, virtually unchanged from a poll taken just before the conventions....

"The telephone poll was conducted Sept. 7 to 9 among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including 826 registered voters. The margin of sampling error among the sample of registered voters is plus or minus four percentage points (end p. 2)....Compared with the survey taken before the convention, voters’ assessments of Obama’s job performance are essentially unchanged and in vulnerable territory — with 48 percent approving and 50 percent disapproving. Also stubbornly unchanged is the negativity around his handling of the economy: Most voters — 53 percent — disapprove of his stewardship of the economy, and strongly negative views are almost twice as common as strongly positive ones....(top p. 2)

For more than two years, a majority of voters have disapproved of Obama in this area. Those who disapprove overwhelmingly say it is because they think he is pursuing the wrong policies, not because his efforts need more time....Despite a feverish effort at the Democratic convention, neither Obama nor his prominent supporters were able to reverse disapproval of the president’s handling of the economy, the dominant issue in the campaign, or inspire confidence that things will pick up if he is reelected."...

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via Free Republic

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