5/9/12, "Club of Rome has a skeptical take on the future," Deutsche Welle, Fabian Schmidt
"Fourty years ago, the Club of Rome released "The Limits of Growth." Now, it has released another look into the future. But how accurate are such predictions?
In its latest publication "2052 – a Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years," the Club of Rome takes a bold look into the future. The 66 scientists and economists that make up the club predict - similarly to their first report ("The Limits of Growth") in 1972 - that the current economic development could soon tip over.
But differing from their view back then, they now put climate change at the heart of their study. Their prognosis is mainly influenced by the assumption that a warming of more than 2.5 degrees Celsius is likely: There will be more floods, droughts and climate extremes....
Looking at politics, the Club of Rome predicts a shift of power and influence from the US to China. Beijing's undemocratic structures are – according to the report – in fact an advantage for the country, as the government can implement its policies more easily and faster than in a democracy....
In terms of economic future, it is the small and medium sized companies in the US and other industrialized nations that will suffer most from the future transformations as it is the least innovative sector."...
"Mankind may face extinction if it fails to change its ways, the Club of Rome think tank has said."
5/8/12, "Mankind must change ways to survive, report says," Deutsche Welle
"If mankind does not take more action to alleviate climate change, it will soon see evidence that the planet has reached its limits, the Club of Rome report says. Both economic and population growth will stagnate within the next 40 years without a change of tack on the part of governments.
"We need a system of governance that takes a more long-term view," said the report's author, Norwegian environmental scientist Jorgen Randers, at its launch in Rotterdam on Tuesday. "It is unlikely that governments will pass necessary regulation to force the markets to allocate more money into climate-friendly solutions," he said, adding that markets can't be expected to work for the benefit of mankind.
Randers predicts that over the next four decades, China will continue to thrive thanks to its ability to take action, while the current dominant economies - the United States especially - will stagnate."...
Club of Rome says things are more "urgent" than ever:
7/2011, "A New Path to World Development," Club of Rome Programme
Club of Rome saidin 1972 our lifestyles were unsustainable:
"Established in 1968 this group of professionals from science, politics and industry, published their report The Limits to Growth, commissioned from a group of experts at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, which expressed their concerns over short term thinking in international affairs and unbridled consumption of the worlds' natural resources.
Limits to Growth predicted that in the foreseeable future, some vital raw materials would start running out.".