Solid Democrat states drop from 30 in 2008
- to 14 in 2010
"Gallup's analysis of party affiliation in the U.S. states shows a marked decline in the number of solidly Democratic states
- from 2008 (30) to 2010 (14).
- Even with Democratic Party affiliation declining during the past two years, Democratic states still outnumbered Republican states by 23 to 10 last year, and there were 14 solidly Democratic states compared with 5 solidly Republican states.
Looking more closely at the changes in state party affiliation since 2008, only one state moved from a Democratic positioning to a Republican positioning -- New Hampshire, which was solidly Democratic in 2008 but now is considered leaning Republican.
- Montana, and
- South Dakota
A total of 12 states -- Arkansas, Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Louisiana, Maine, Missouri, Nevada, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Virginia, and Wisconsin -- shifted from solidly or leaning Democratic to competitive. No states have moved in a more Democratic direction since 2008. (A listing of each state's classification for 2008, 2009, and 2010 is available on page 2 of this report.)
Gallup has documented the decline in Democratic Party affiliation at the national level from its recent peak in 2008 and early 2009. After several years of increasing Democratic affiliation beginning in late 2005,
- the current political situation is similar to what it was in the mid-2000s, when the parties were more or less even.
In fact, every state and the District of Columbia had fewer residents identifying as Democrats, or identifying as independents but leaning Democratic, in 2010 than in 2008. The
- greatest declines were in Rhode Island, New Hampshire, Maine, and Hawaii;
the smallest were in North Dakota and Mississippi.
- These results are based on Gallup Daily tracking, and include interviews with more than 350,000 Americans each year since 2008. In 2010, Gallup interviewed at least 1,000 adults in every state but North Dakota as well as the District of Columbia.
All respondents are asked whether they identify as Democrats, Republicans, or independents. Those who say they are independents or who express no party preference are asked whether they
- "lean" more to the Republican Party or the Democratic Party.
The data reported here for party affiliation take into account both party identification and leaning. This allows for a better comparison of party strength across states, given that
- the percentage of independents varies widely -- from a low of 28% in Kentucky in 2010 to a high of 58% in Rhode Island.
Many of the states with higher proportions of independents are dominated electorally by one party, so leaned party identification gives a better sense of the true political orientation of each state. The full 2010 party affiliation data for each state are available on page 3.
The state classifications do not necessarily indicate how each state would vote in a given election, because the results are based on
- all state residents rather than the smaller voting electorate in each state.
Usually, Democratic affiliation is higher in the general population than in the electorate, given generally
- higher rates of voter participation by Republicans."
This group is doing the same thing the Bush group did. Ignoring the voters and wrecking the party that brought them in. ed.
via Hot Air